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2019-08-27 Even if I don't listen to people, "numbers" tell me a lot. [長年日記]

(Continuation from yesterday)

Even if I don't listen to people, "numbers" tell me a lot.

"Simulation" using the numbers tells me the relatively accurate future.

The great thing about the numbers is

- I don't need to talk with unpleasant guys (who gets angry when their contradictions are pointed out)

- I can get results that exclude beliefs, hopes, desires, etc.

In additon,

- I don't have to read a lot of books and materials (it's enough to create a hypothesis model)

However,

- I have to do thorough study and hypothetical model design that are required for calculation.

It is a bad point.

But if not, I can't build a program, so I have to give up.

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It seems that there are many people who misunderstand "simulation" in the world, so I will explain it.

I'm not "predicting the future" with a personal computer.

I'm just turning the numbers about "what will happen in the future if we continue the current situation to the future".

This requires enormous calculations, so I'm just using my computer to do it, instead of hitting the calculator.

If I can hit the calculator one million times a second, I don't need to use my computer.

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So, for those who write on SNS, such as "I don't believe Ebata's future predictions", I want to say

"You're stupid. I have never predicted a future before"

"What I'm doing is just many calculations. The essence is the same as the calculation drill for elementary school summer homework."

"I don't believe Ebata's future predictions", Are you kidding? I know that the future will not be as calculated.

(To be continued)