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2014-10-28 I will give a lecture this time with these contents (It's a panty, indeed), [長年日記]

There are some samples about Bayes estimation as follows.

- What is the probability to catch the disease really for a positive reaction of illness?

- There are two pots that include some white balls and red balls. When you get one red ball, what is the probability to get the ball from the first pot?

Though the above examples are overwhelmingly coming on,

"Who wants to know the probability?” I think.

Well, I can admit that the above examples are good in order to understand the Bayes estimation mechanism.

However, I feel that the examples are not common in our life.

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Before, I introduced you to a book that is described,

"When you find a panty of NOT yours in the chest, let's calculate the probability of your partner's unfaithful love."

I will give a lecture this time with these contents (It's a panty, indeed),

I am going to inform you the feedback from the persons who take the course. I feel pit-a-pat, am not stoked.

"I hate it if scolded during a lecture"