There are some samples about Bayes estimation as follows.

- What is the probability to catch the disease really for a positive reaction of illness?

- There are two pots that include some white balls and red balls. When you get one red ball, what is the probability to get the ball from the first pot?

Though the above examples are overwhelmingly coming on,

"Who wants to know the probability?” I think.

Well, I can admit that the above examples are good in order to understand the Bayes estimation mechanism.

However, I feel that the examples are not common in our life.

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Before, I introduced you to a book that is described,

"When you find a panty of NOT yours in the chest, let's calculate the probability of your partner's unfaithful love."

I will give a lecture this time with these contents (It's a panty, indeed),

I am going to inform you the feedback from the persons who take the course. I feel pit-a-pat, am not stoked.

"I hate it if scolded during a lecture"

(Continuation from yesterday)

But "Asamiya Saki" who is a heroine in the manga comic "Sukeban Deka(titty-boo detective)" has infiltrated enemy's organisation as an agent of the police organisation.

Because She had called her "a tool of the police" in the work by herself.

In my opinion, the existence like her, is not quite "fiction".

I think that some students engage in this agent job illegally. (when I have an opportunity, I will talk the story)

If there are the students like that, "job contract" between guardians and students, based on principle of private autonomy, has no problem basically.

Above all, when a conflict happens between them on the ground of contract delinquency, a court will declare invalid by the reason of offensive to public order and morals before the labour law.

To tell you the truth, I am not interested in the above.

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What I want to say is, that

"I cannot understand the values of friend"

"But I know well that the value of act like friend, is a bond that can turn into money."

It may be that what you are longing or waiting, is just like a bond, that statutes of limitations will expire.

I am seriously doubt whether "it" is valuable something that you should save or devote yourself, in my opinion.

(To be continued)

Today, new my column is released, so I take a day off.

"Over the AI(3) ---- beyond a reach of our imagination"

Embarrassed artificial intelligence -- More than 100 years are needed to explain their thought per one second.

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Being faced with the problem of "drawing a illustration",

I bought a white lab coat(for mens) for real business purposes from Amazon.com, against family's opposition, and

After my whole family tried the coat,

they came out with a counter-view of "let us try it and take a picture for the next new years post card".

The family, like the above

has existed.

I had stooped seeing "Sazae-san" for a long time(it may be over 20 years).

In fact, I do not even know whether this program is still ongoing (I will check it later).

In the world of "Sazae-san", although it can not be helped that time stops,

I don't think that the program the the kids cannot understand might keep showing.

So, now that I want to know,

(1) Does the liquor store's deliverer (young man who is certainly "sub-chan") changed jobs? Was delivery service replaced by Amazon?

(2)Have both Isono and fuguta family had already smart-phone?

(3) Does Fune read the cooking recipe using the tablet?

(4) Does Masuo sometimes work from home using a security PC?

(The time of world-line has stopped, so I do not think there are such scenes that Namihei and Fune are getting on a nursing care service, they are wandering around inside the hospital)

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I think that it is better to position "Mr. Sazae" as "History Animation", is not it?

It seems that the person who believes (as it seems) to believe that "the appearance of the country" is the revival of that world view of "Mr. Sazae" is in the center of power. For example,

- The highest top of the administrative agency of our country, the party leader of the administration party

like the person.

(To be continued)

(Continuation from yesterday)

Let's return to the story of the cat.

Even weak cats will not be able to observe unless they raise "barks" while being weak.

If they do not work crying once, the should do same actions even twice or three times. If not, they cannot be observed.

And the cats that cannot be observed will die.

For many people, "crying cats" are out of scope, cannot be heard. In short, it doesn't matter.

On the other hand, "a people who killed a cat" continues to live their days without recognizing the "killing a cat".

Most of the people in the world, including me, continue to kill the cat.

It can not be helped because "crying cat" can not be heard.

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Thus, my feeling of "99:1" as victim vs victimizer, is coming.

However, from the objective viewpoint, everyone can understand that the ratio is nonsense.

Again, I say

"we don't look upon us as victimizers of power harassment"

Yesterday, I went to a parts shop in Machida to purchase parts for an experimental device using a Raspberry Pi.

Raspberry Pi is an educational board computer of several thousand yen, but it is a splendid computer that has been monitoring the Ebata's house with working for several years.

Anyway, the initial cost is cheap, so it is very helpful when I want to make a prototype system in a short time.

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On the other hand, the product lineup of enclosure, with water-proof and dust-proof for outdoor environment, is very poor.

There are also few types of communication modules (4G not WiFi).

Well, above all, it cannot be helped, since they are not intended for outdoor use.

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At the moment, the most useful are

"products that can be purchased at 100 yen stores"

Especially, plastic cases are abundant in size, and they are very useful.

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However, I cannot get metal adapters that secure the board computer, even at 100 yen stores"

I had a hard time getting the strangely sized metal tool, and I had to say "which country standard they use ?”

By consulting only one parts shop at Machida, I could connect different parts. Finally I managed to them somehow.

And I purchased them in large quantities at my own expense.

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"I am almost the same as when I was buying the parts for experimentation at my own expense in my campus life" with a sigh.

(Continuation from yesterday)

However, in this closed-off environment, there are idiots who think that they are popular with the opposite sex.

And this idiot takes advantage of the child's ignorance in such a closed environment to commit crimes (sex crimes) in society without much awareness.

Perhaps many of those incidents will never come to light.

This is because the child, the victim, has not learned and does not know that the means of "accusation" exists.

"Stupid adults who can't evaluate themselves and children who can't accuse them of sexual assault". This is a frightening combination that sends chills down my spine.

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That may be a bit of an exaggeration, but I have to be honest with you.

I find young people who talk about their dreams of being a teacher in the future to be "creepy".

Just the fact that I have a 'bloated ego' that says 'I can be a person who teaches and leads others' gives me chills.

In the first place, I think it's crazy that there is a 'direct route to employment, from student to teacher, with zero time lag', without ever having to deal with the contradictions, irrationality and unreasonableness of society in general.

A teacher's employment qualifications should be included

A person who has at least three years of work experience in a position equivalent to or higher than section head in a company certified by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology.

I believe that only those who have had their "bloated ego" "thoroughly beaten down" can enter the special environment of school.

(The reason for including the phrase "accredited by the Ministry of Education, is that 'anyone could build a company for a penny and become president on the same day")

(To be continued)

(Continuation from yesterday)

However, this time, after doing some research beforehand, I stopped giving "X(negative)" to all the judges for the first time. And only the judges who ruled "constitutional" in the court case regarding the Married couple's surname, have been given an "X".

Well, of course, my vote would not result in the dismissal of the judge, but I thought that it would at least convey one of the popular sentiments of "the voice of the people on Married couple's surname".

As for the Supreme Court's decision, in addition to the "Married couple's surname", there were also the "issue of disparity in votes" and the "Okinawa base issue.

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Well, young people.

You don't have to force yourself to go to the polls.

It's still too early to be thinking about politics, and first of all, it's too much troublesome.

Besides, if you go to vote, we seniors will be in trouble (most likely).

I am particularly afraid of "regime change".

In the past, around 2009, there was a dramatic change of government.

However, the administration became confused due to the government's popularity-seeking policies, and the former ruling party, which had fallen into the opposition, became a hindrance to the government -- and in the end, it was we, the people, who paid the price.

To be honest, I don't want to face that kind of trouble again.

We seniors are left with no other strategy but to "feed" on the younger generation and survive.

So -- please be quiet and continue to be exploited from seniors as you always have.

Recently, "Free address(*)" with NotePC, so called "WaiGaya" seems to be popular.

(*)office system where employees are free to change desk

However, according to my IT works, I just say, that is

"I cannot help laughing"

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On my simulator I have made and tried some experiments, more than several million object are moving in realtime environment.

The other day, the PC that executed my simulator strucked by shortage of PC resources, so I had to move the database system to another PC.

Why don't I use Cloud?

Of course, in addition to the problems of realtime movie and commnucation speed, the VC that Cloud provides has poor calculation power. So heavy simulations I have tried is out of question.

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In short, my IT works are, like

Making a big hole on the outside road using excavator with a roading in open air, pulling a pipes up by crane and, embeding in in the ground without a margin of error of 1mm.

super-scale and super-precision IT.

Of course, I need several high-spec PCs, and each computer's capabilities must be used to the limit.

Therefore, I have a cult of tuning on my computer to the point, like "I can't do any better".

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- Whoever claims "Free Address" without knowing the type of work IT does...

- Without knowing the working field of the IT

- wants to leave a track record of 'providing a cool, cool office environment' outside of the company.

- It's the kind of thing that executives or administrative guys would come up with on the cheap.

The words of this colleague really touched my heart.

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However, "Free Address is the trend of the time", then I have to accept it.

Then I will now drag my outdoor wagon to work, with

- two desktop PCs

- three large display

- several various devices

Of course, if you have an accident or injury, you would have to apply for workers' compensation.

As noted above, Israel has not "doubled down" in the conflict in 2014 but has "20-fold return".

(1) Hamas attacks Israel even though it knows that a "20-fold return" will take place.

(2) Israel, which engages in attacks involving non-combatants in the Gaza Strip when it knows that its inhumane attacks will be internationally condemned.

And, in light of the long history of the territories, including Jerusalem, dating back to World War I (or, more precisely, the "Exodus" 3,300 years ago), and the recent history of solidarity between the Japanese Red Army and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP), etc., etc., etc. --

I recently concluded that,?

"Efforts to keep the war from opening up are significant, "

In this case, I believe that this situation would not have developed if (1) Israeli intelligence had been able to detect the Hamas attack in advance and foil its plans or (2) the enemy forces had been destroyed immediately after the attack.

The increased cost of intelligence and defense was "unfortunate, but necessary" to make the enemy believe that "invasion would be a loss to our country.

Aside from that.

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I am a master of "devil's calculations" without blood, tears, feelings, or morals, such as "the number of children killed as collateral damage for the murder of one Hamas leader."

介護サービス市場を正しく理解するための“悪魔の計算”https://t.co/9nu2JRsyqG pic.twitter.com/8eW32ikog8

? EE Times Japan編集部 (@eetimes_jp) October 19, 2018

It has been a while since I have felt like "doing the math."