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2022-02-07 Conspiracy theorists can create any number of conspiracy theories they want, anytime, anywhere. [長年日記]

Recently, I've been mediating between Ms. K, who asked me about my column, and Dr. Shibata as a co-author of my column, through the Ebata Firewall.

The original issue is here.

(Maybe I can let you know about this exchange, soon)

Today, I would like to share with you a part of the email I just sent to Dr. Shibata.

===== From here =====

Thanks for your reply.

Dr. Shibata > I think Mr. Ebata, who has a lot to say about depression and suicide, would be able to explain how strong stress can blunt their ability to make decisions.

Dr. Shibata > What Ms. K needs to make a decision may be more than medical information, but the convergence of the 6th wave, the improvement of the situation in the food and beverage industry, the alleviation of the aftereffects of the new corona, and a good night's sleep.

When I received the above phrase, I felt as if my switch had 'clicked'.

I come to want to think about the decision-making process under the Corona disaster.

In addition, the difference in the response of foreign governments and the public -- the legislative requirement to show proof of vaccination in France, the ambitious spirit of social experimentation in the UK, the massive anti-vaccine demonstrations (and then the declaration of a state of emergency) in Canada, etc. -- To be honest, I'm quite surprised at how different the characters of the nation and its people are. And I wanted to analyze these as well.

I also want to incorporate the endless conspiracy theories about the new coronary vaccine (hereafter referred to as "conspiracy theories"), whether they are right or wrong, and that "the conspiracy theorists never lose".

This is a lesson learned from ancient and modern warfare that 'regular armies lose if they do not win, but guerrillas win if they do not lose'.

From Hannibal's battle against the Roman Empire, to Che Guevara's revolution in Cuba, to Vietnam, Afghanistan, and the Islamic State, the fact that these countries have basically defeated the major powers is proof of this.

Conspiracy theorists can create any number of conspiracy theories they want, anytime, anywhere.

In contrast, the people who destroy them (us) can only finally destroy one conspiracy theory with the right logic and evidence (numbers, etc.) at a cost of 10 to 100 times that amount.

Well, seriously, the opposite side (conspiracy theory production and PR) seems to be easy, and I really envy them.

===== To here =====

I'm thinking, "If I were on that side, I might have had a more enjoyable and easier time writing.

I have to admit that writing with an engineering approach is hard because of the strict numbers, statistics, logic, and fact-checking.