The following is a phrase that appears in the novel "The Sinking of Japan".

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"Most of the members of the committee only wanted to know the conclusions and were almost bothered to listen to the process of the phenomenon, and were not interested in understanding it. It's a habit of politicians to want to divide things into right and left, black and white"

"Some of the committee members are academics"

"Scholars who are very good at making 'political decisions'"

"You are ......." The Commissioner's face scrunched up, and a blue streak appeared on his forehead, twitching. "What are you ?"

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I, for a long time, thought that this is what academics standing next to politicians look like.

A recent example is the academics who could not say the word "meltdown" under the circumstances.

(In fact, the government (the Prime Minister and the Chief Cabinet Secretary at the time) removed the official who mentioned the possibility of a "meltdown.)

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So...

When I saw the chairman of the government's subcommittee on countermeasures against the new coronavirus (hereinafter referred to as the chairman) directly criticizing the government and the IOC for holding the Tokyo Olympics as a spectator event, I sincerely thought that he was amazing.

Whether the Chairman's decision is correct or not, or whether the government's decision is correct or not, will not be known until after the Tokyo Olympics, but I believe that at least four (or five?) of the predictions of the spread of the disease have been correct perfectly by the government's subcommittee.

I happened to watch the recording of NHK's special on the prediction of the number of coronary infections two weeks later, and I was not only impressed but also horrified by the high accuracy of the simulation prediction.

In any case, the experts' simulations are supposed to be done by adding various situations (vaccination status, etc.).

"Only when it comes to this Tokyo Olympics event, their predictions will be wrong"

I find it very difficult to imagine such a thing.

(To be continued)